SAMT Blog

12 Apr 2024

Una giornata di formazione a 360 gradi

Categories: Technical Analysis, Italian

Sabato 4 maggio, presso l’elegante Hotel Splendide Royal sulle sponde del lago di Lugano, Swissquote organizza una interessante giornata di formazione finanziaria a partecipazione gratuita, molto ben [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti

25 Feb 2024

Un’ottima performance (ma preoccupante)

Categories: Technical Analysis, Italian

Anche quest’anno l’andamento dell’indice americano S&P500 ha una performance che è molto legata ai suoi titoli ad alta capitalizzazione. I “magnifici sette” (Apple, Amazon, Alphabet, [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti

25 Feb 2024

An excellent (but worrying) performance

Categories: Technical Analysis

This year too, the performance of the American S&P500 index is linked to its large capitalization stocks. The "magnificent seven" (Apple, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia and Tesla) are still "partially" [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti

08 Feb 2024

S&P500 - Weekly Charts and potential outlooks for 2024 on Feb 3

Categories: Technical Analysis

Here the analysis on a weekly chart basis on Feb 3. Chart includes data up to feb 8, 2024 Following up on our S&P500 monthly chart from the last blog article, let's zoom onto the weekly chart to envision how the [...]Y

by Bruno Estier

08 Feb 2024

S&P500 and Euro$ - Monthly Charts to Nurture the 2024 Debate

Categories: Technical Analysis

we publish our text and annotations of December 29, 2023, but with the monthly chart updated to February 8 , 2024. Some US Equity investors (passive investors) are celebrating the New Year because these “Buy and [...]Y

by Bruno Estier

14 Jan 2024

Attenzione a Yellowcake

Categories: Technical Analysis, Italian

In questo articolo parlerò di un settore investibile, in modo più descrittivo che tecnico. Si tratta di un settore poco seguito, ma che rispetto alle performances dell’ormai troppo famoso bitcoin non ha [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti

14 Jan 2024

Beware of the Yellowcake

Categories: Technical Analysis

In this article I will talk about an investable sector, in a more descriptive than technical way. This is a little-followed sector, but compared to the performances of the now all too famous bitcoin it has nothing to envy [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti

12 Jan 2024

Chartist Triangles by The Wolf of Zurich

Categories: Technical Analysis, Education

Today " The WOOZ " has decided to give you a little Master Class on CHARTIST TRIANGLES in Trading. Small reminder for some, not to be neglected, because according to my experience, the chart figures work between 65 and [...]Y

by James Touati

17 Dec 2023

Risk-on: quanto può durare?

Categories: Technical Analysis, Italian

La potenziale call rialzista di cui abbiamo parlato nell’ultimo articolo di novembre, si è sviluppata in questo periodo in modo molto rapido e con modalità ben superiori alle aspettative. I dati macro [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti

17 Dec 2023

Risk-on: how long can it last?

Categories: Technical Analysis

The potential bullish call that we wrote in the last November article, developed in this period very quickly and in a manner far exceeding expectations. The favourable macro data we were talking about, and a certain benign [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti

07 Dec 2023

"Santa Claus Is Coming To Town"?

Categories: Technical Analysis

Frank Sinatra ‘The Voice’ once sang the 1934 festive classic “Santa Claus Is Coming To Town” and with Christmas almost here and the year drawing to a close, investors are eagerly anticipating [...]Y

by Ron William

12 Nov 2023

In France we don't have Oil, but

Categories: Technical Analysis, harmonic patterns

James D.Touati alias "The Wolf of Zurich" proposes you a new approach for users and members, with new posting styles, short formats, graphs, languages and publication frequency. “In France we don’t have oil, [...]Y

by James Touati

05 Nov 2023

"This is gold, Mr. Bond"

Categories: Technical Analysis

“This is gold, Mr. Bond. All my life I’ve been in love with its colour…its brilliance, its divine heaviness.” An infamous line from the antagonist Auric Goldfinger, in the illustrious Bond movie [...]Y

by Ron William

05 Nov 2023

Long-term yields drive a potential risk-on phase

Categories: Technical Analysis

After a rapid decline that began at the end of October, the S&P 500 index has made a surprising recovery in the last five sessions, returning to the same levels, and regaining the position a little above its 50-day [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti

05 Nov 2023

I tassi a lungo termine guidano una potenziale fase risk-on

Categories: Technical Analysis, Italian

Dopo una veloce discesa iniziata a fine ottobre, l’indice S&P 500 nelle ultime cinque sedute ha avuto un sorprendente recupero tornando più o meno agli stessi livelli e riguadagnando la posizione un poco [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti

01 Nov 2023

GOLDFINGER: What's next? Italian version

Categories: Technical Analysis, Italian, Wolfe Waves, harmonic patterns

James D. Touati, "Il lupo di Zurigo" vi propone un nuovo approccio, come utenti e come membri, caratterizzato da nuovi stili di pubblicazione, pattern armonici, onde di Wolfe e brevi descrizioni supportate da [...]Y

by James Touati

01 Nov 2023

BITCOIN-Larry Fink, Cathy Wood, and Clubber Lang are on a boat-Arabic version

Categories: Technical Analysis, Wolfe Waves, harmonic patterns

جيمس د. تواتي المعروف بـ "ذئب زيورخ" يقترح على المستخدمين والأعضاء نهجًا جديدًا مع أساليب نشر جديدة، وأنماط نمطية جديدة، وموجات وولف، وتنسيقات قصيرة ورسوم بيانية هذا المنشور هو النسخة الإنجليزية من مقالتي على [...]Y

by James Touati

01 Nov 2023

GOLDFINGER: What's next? Arabic version

Categories: Technical Analysis, Wolfe Waves, harmonic patterns

جيمس د. تواتي المعروف بـ "ذئب زيورخ" يقترح على المستخدمين والأعضاء نهجًا جديدًا مع أساليب نشر جديدة، وأنماط نمطية جديدة، وموجات وولف، وتنسيقات قصيرة ورسوم بيانية اليوم، يقدم "ذئب زيورخ" تحليله للذهب تم [...]Y

by James Touati

31 Oct 2023

BITCOIN-Larry Fink, Cathy Wood, and Clubber Lang are on a boat

Categories: Technical Analysis, Wolfe Waves, harmonic patterns

James D. Touati aka "The Wolf of Zurich" offers you a new approach for users and members, with new publication styles, harmonic figures, Wolfe Waves, short and graphic formats. This publication is the english [...]Y

by James Touati

29 Oct 2023

GOLDFINGER: What's next?

Categories: Technical Analysis, harmonic patterns

James D. Touati aka "The Wolf of Zurich" offers you a new approach for users and members, with new publication styles, harmonic figures, Wolfe Waves, short and graphic formats. This publication is the english [...]Y

by James Touati

14 Oct 2023

SPECIAL CRYPTOS - Please, STOP your bla bla

Categories: Technical Analysis, Wolfe Waves, harmonic patterns

James D.Touati alias "The Wolf of Zurich" proposes you a new approach for users and members, with new posting styles, short formats, graphs, languages and publication frequency. This publication was made in [...]Y

by James Touati

12 Oct 2023

NATURAL GAS - analysis over 20 years

Categories: Technical Analysis, harmonic patterns

James D.Touati alias "The Wolf of Zurich" proposes you a new approach for users and members, with new posting styles, short formats, graphs, languages and publication frequency. This publication was made in [...]Y

by James Touati

23 Sep 2023

bearish signals on the EUR/CHF - what to look out for now

Categories: Technical Analysis, Wolfe Waves, harmonic patterns

Today the 21st of September 2023, The Wolf of Zurich ( The WOOZ ) offers you a technical analysis on: EUR/CHF. All the target estimates are on the graph. Below the graph, James D.Touati will make commentaries about [...]Y

by James Touati

20 Sep 2023

TOTAL (TTE) and WTI Crude Oil-New patterns detected

Categories: Technical Analysis, Wolfe Waves, harmonic patterns

James D. Touati aka. “The Wolf of Zurich” (The WOOZ) offers you a new approach for users and members, with new publication styles, short formats, graphics, multi-languages and dynamic publications. This [...]Y

by James Touati

19 Sep 2023

TOTAL (TTE) and WTI Crude Oil-New patterns detected (Arabic version)

Categories: Technical Analysis, Wolfe Waves, harmonic patterns

جيمس د. تواتي الملقب بـ "ذا ولف أوف زيورخ" (ذا ووز) يقدم لكم نهجًا جديدًا للمستخدمين والأعضاء، مع أنماط نشر جديدة، وتنسيقات قصيرة، ورسوم بيانية، ولغات متعددة، ونشر دينامي. تم إنتاج هذا النشر بالتعاون مع توماس فييي. [...]Y

by James Touati

18 Sep 2023

NETFLIX-Important bearish patterns detected

Categories: Technical Analysis, harmonic patterns

James D.Touati alias "The Wolf of Zurich" proposes you a new approach for users and members, with new posting styles, short formats, graphs, languages and publication frequency. This publication was made in [...]Y

by James Touati

14 Sep 2023

GOOGLE-Bearish patterns have been detected

Categories: Technical Analysis, harmonic patterns

James D.Touati alias "The Wolf of Zurich" proposes you a new approach for users and members, with new posting styles, short formats, graphs, languages and publication frequency. This publication was made in [...]Y

by James Touati

10 Sep 2023

Special CRYPTOS for MEMBERS ONLY - Potential Reversal Zone and purchasing levels

Categories: Technical Analysis

James D.Touati alias "The Wolf of Zurich" proposes you a new approach for users and members, with new posting styles, short formats, graphs, languages and publication frequency. This Saturday day the 10th of September [...]Y

by James Touati

09 Sep 2023

Stock sectors and relative strength: an analysis with monthly data

Categories: Technical Analysis

The analysis of relative strength on stock markets is a selection method that has always demonstrated a certain reliability in practice, also demonstrated by various academic studies. There are several ways to analyze [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti

09 Sep 2023

Settori azionari e forza relativa: un'analisi con i dati mensili

Categories: Technical Analysis, Italian

L'analisi della forza relativa sui mercati azionari è un metodo di selezione che ha sempre dimostrato nella pratica una certa affidabilità, validata anche da diversi studi accademici. Esistono diversi modi per [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti

09 Sep 2023

BITCOIN-Black Swan and Wolfe wave still valid

Categories: Technical Analysis, Wolfe Waves, harmonic patterns

James D.Touati alias "The Wolf of Zurich" proposes you a new approach for users and members, with new posting styles, short formats, graphs, languages and publication frequency. This Sunday the 9th of September in the [...]Y

by James Touati

09 Sep 2023

UBS The Bank-Special MORNING BULL (RU)

Categories: Technical Analysis, Wolfe Waves, harmonic patterns

Джеймс Д.Туати, псевдоним «Волк из Цюриха», предлагает вам новый подход для пользователей и участников с новыми стилями публикаций, короткими форматами, графиками, языками и частотой публикаций. Эту [...]Y

by James Touati

08 Sep 2023

APPLE- Bearish Wolfe wave detected- Is a rebound possible?

Categories: Technical Analysis, Wolfe Waves

James D.Touati alias "The Wolf of Zurich" proposes you a new approach for users and members, with new posting styles, short formats, graphs, languages and publication frequency. This Friday the 8th of September in the [...]Y

by James Touati

08 Sep 2023

3M (Weekly) -Wolfe wave detected - divergence - PRZ to monitor

Categories: Technical Analysis, Wolfe Waves

James D.Touati alias "The Wolf of Zurich" proposes you a new approach for users and members, with new posting styles, short format, graphs, languages and publication frequency. This Friday the 8th of September in the [...]Y

by James Touati

07 Sep 2023

UBS - bearish butterfly pattern detected

Categories: Technical Analysis, Wolfe Waves, harmonic patterns

James D.Touati alias "The Wolf of Zurich" proposes you a new approach for users and members, with new posting styles, short formats, graphs, languages and publication frequency. This Wednesday the 6th of September in [...]Y

by James Touati

07 Sep 2023

UBS "La banca" - speciale MORNING BULL (IT)

Categories: Technical Analysis, Wolfe Waves, harmonic patterns

James D.Touati alias "Il Lupo di Zurigo" vi propone un nuovo approccio per utenti e membri, con nuovi stili di pubblicazione, formati brevi, grafici, lingue e frequenza di pubblicazione. Pubblicazione condotta da: [...]Y

by James Touati

06 Sep 2023

NASDAQ-Bearish Wolfe wave detected and targets estimations

Categories: Technical Analysis, Wolfe Waves

James D.Touati alias "The Wolf of Zurich" proposes you a new approach for users and members, with new posting styles, short formats, graphs, languages and publication frequency. This Wednesday the 6th of September in [...]Y

by James Touati

05 Sep 2023

UBS "La Bank": special MORNING BULL - (FR)

Categories: Technical Analysis, Wolfe Waves, French, harmonic patterns

James D.Touati alias "Le Loup de Zurich" vous propose une nouvelle approche pour les utilisateurs et les membres, avec de nouveaux styles de publication, formats courts, graphiques, langues et fréquence de [...]Y

by James Touati

05 Sep 2023

WTI Oil and Raw materials - can the drought in Panama create a bull run?

Categories: Technical Analysis, Wolfe Waves, harmonic patterns

James D.Touati alias "The Wolf of Zurich" proposes you a new approach for users and members, with new posting styles, short formats, graphs, languages and publication frequency. This Tuesday morning (6:38 AM) the 5th [...]Y

by James Touati

03 Sep 2023

UBS The Bank - special MORNING BULL

Categories: Technical Analysis, Wolfe Waves, harmonic patterns

James D.Touati alias "The Wolf of Zurich" proposes you a new approach for users and members, with new posting styles, short formats, graphs, languages and publication frequency. This Sunday morning the 3rd of September [...]Y

by James Touati

02 Sep 2023

Crude Oil: A reawakening for Inflation & Group Think?

Categories: Technical Analysis

Commodities remain on the verge of a super cycle, marking the ongoing restrictive monetary conditions for financial assets and consequential secular inflationary forces ahead (Figure 1). This is also fueled by the [...]Y

by Ron William

01 Sep 2023

DOW JONES (H1) - bearish SHARK pattern and Wolfe wave detected

Categories: Technical Analysis, Wolfe Waves, harmonic patterns

James D.Touati alias "The Wolf of Zurich" proposes you a new approach for users and members, with new posting styles, short formats, graphs, languages and publication frequency. This Friday morning the 1st of September [...]Y

by James Touati

31 Aug 2023

SP500 "I believe I can Butterfly" (bearish)

Categories: Technical Analysis, harmonic patterns

James D.Touati alias "The Wolf of Zurich" proposes you a new approach for users and members, with new posting styles, short formats, graphs, languages and publication frequency. This Thursday the 31st of August in the [...]Y

by James Touati

31 Aug 2023

UBS Group N - bearish Wolfe wave detected

Categories: Technical Analysis, Wolfe Waves, harmonic patterns

James D.Touati alias "The Wolf of Zurich" proposes you a new approach for users and members, with new posting styles, short formats, graphs, languages and publication frequency. This Thursday the 31st of August in the [...]Y

by James Touati

30 Aug 2023

DOW JONES - Wolfe wave detected (H4) and Head and Shoulders pattern?

Categories: Technical Analysis, Wolfe Waves

James D.Touati alias "The Wolf of Zurich" proposes you a new approach for users and members, with new posting styles, short formats, graphs, languages and publication frequency. This Wednesday the 30th of August in the [...]Y

by James Touati

30 Aug 2023

EUR/CHF - bullish Wolfe wave pattern detected

Categories: Technical Analysis, Wolfe Waves, harmonic patterns

This Wednesday the 30th of August in the year of our Lord 2023, Mr Wolfe Waves brings you an analysis of EUR/CHF(Weekly) . This post is for everyone, especially for our new member Michele Carollo , an Italian Forex [...]Y

by James Touati

30 Aug 2023

DAX 40 / NASDAQ / SP 500 (M15) - bearish "Black Swan" detected

Categories: Technical Analysis, Wolfe Waves, harmonic patterns

James D.Touati alias "The Wolf of Zurich" proposes you a new approach for users and members, with new posting styles, short formats, graphs, languages and publication frequency. This Wednesday the 30th of August in the [...]Y

by James Touati

29 Aug 2023

KOTAK Mahindra Bank - a bearish Wolfe wave and a Bullish GARTLEY pattern detected

Categories: Technical Analysis, Wolfe Waves, harmonic patterns

This Tuesday the 29th of August in the year of our Lord 2023, Mr Wolfe Waves brings you an analysis of KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK (weekly). Again, many of my Linkedin and Tradingview followers in India and China and [...]Y

by James Touati

29 Aug 2023

DAX40 - beautiful bearish GARTLEY detected - H1

Categories: Technical Analysis, harmonic patterns

This Tuesday the 29th of August in the year of our Lord 2023, Mr Wolfe Waves brings you an analysis of DAX 40 (H1). Look at this beautiful bearish GARTLEY. The price can make a downturn around 15 877 ?! ;-) [...]Y

by James Touati

28 Aug 2023

NIFTY BANK - Wolfe wave detected

Categories: Technical Analysis, Wolfe Waves

This Monday the 28th of August in the year of our Lord 2023, The Wolf of Zurich brings you an analysis of NIFTY BANK . Many of my Tradinview followers have asked me for an analysis of the Indian NIFTY index, [...]Y

by James Touati

28 Aug 2023

What is the ICHIMOKU indicator and how does it work? The answer in 6 points and in 6 min

Categories: Technical Analysis, Education

Looking at this chart with the ICHIMOKU indicator "at a glance" , your first reaction is a total incomprehension. Which is completely normal for an average person. From its real name ICHIMOKU KINKO HYO , this [...]Y

by James Touati

27 Aug 2023

UBS Group AG - bearish Wolfe wave and trendline to monitor

Categories: Technical Analysis, Wolfe Waves

This Sunday 27th of August in the year of our Lord 2023, Mr Wolfe Waves brings you an analysis of UBS Group AG . A bearish Wolfe wave has been detected (Daily). The RSI is overbought. The MACD starts to [...]Y

by James Touati

25 Aug 2023

DOW JONES - bearish Wolfe wave detected

Categories: Technical Analysis, Wolfe Waves

This Friday 25th of August in the year of our Lord 2023, Mr Wolfe Waves brings you an analysis of DOW JONES . A bearish Wolfe wave has been detected (Daily and H4). My TP1 and TP2 has been touched [...]Y

by James Touati

25 Aug 2023

SP500 - bearish GARTLEY detected

Categories: Technical Analysis, harmonic patterns

This Friday 25th of August in the year of our Lord 2023, Mr Wolfe Waves brings you an analysis of SP500. A bearish GARTLEY pattern has been detected (H4). My TP1 has been touched already . TP2 is [...]Y

by James Touati

24 Aug 2023

BITCOIN - Possible rebound in a short term?

Categories: Technical Analysis, harmonic patterns

This Thursday 24th of August in the year of our Lord 2023, Mr Wolfe Waves brings you an analysis of BITCOIN USD. A rebound remains possible on the PRZ ( Price Reversal Zone). The MACD crosses [...]Y

by James Touati

22 Aug 2023

NVIDIA with high earnings expectations and a bearish Butterfly pattern pointing down

Categories: Technical Analysis, Wolfe Waves, harmonic patterns

This Tuesday, August 22 in the year of our Lord 2023, Mr Wolfe Waves brings you an analysis of NVIDIA . As I mentioned on August 12, 2023 (link below), NVIDIA could join its GAP around 464.64. This is what happened last [...]Y

by James Touati

21 Aug 2023

DAX 40 with an interesting GARTLEY pattern-is a rebound possible?

Categories: Technical Analysis, Wolfe Waves, harmonic patterns

This Monday afternoon, Mr Wolfe waves shows you a Wolfe wave detected , and a very interesting bullish GARTLEY pattern on the DAX 40 index. A rebound in a short time is possible. NB: Don't forget [...]Y

by James Touati

21 Aug 2023

FTSE: important trend line and Butterfly pattern to monitor

Categories: Technical Analysis, Wolfe Waves, harmonic patterns

This Monday, James D.Touati alias Mister Wolfe waves shows you a bearish Wolfe wave pattern, some harmonics patterns, and a bullish Butterfly pattern on the FTSE index, and target estimations . At [...]Y

by James Touati

20 Aug 2023

BITCOIN: two possible scenarios

Categories: Technical Analysis, Wolfe Waves

This Sunday afternoon, James D.Touati aka. Mister Wolfe waves shows you two possible scenarios on the Bitcoin (USD) price and potentials target estimations. Stay safe, and enjoy your trades. For more details, you [...]Y

by James Touati

20 Aug 2023

SP500 (H1): very interesting GARTLEY patterns

Categories: Technical Analysis, harmonic patterns

This Sunday, Mr Wolfe waves wanted to share with you these very interesting GARTLEY patterns on SP500 (H1) and some possible target estimations. NB: Don't forget that with harmonics , the [...]Y

by James Touati

16 Aug 2023

MICROSFT peut rejoindre sa MME.200 en journalier?

Categories: Technical Analysis, Wolfe Waves, French

Une vague de Wolfe a été détectée sur MICROSOFT et nous sommes sur le bas d'un support majeur situé entre 342-323. Un rebond est possible en double bottom ( bougie du 25 Mai [...]Y

by James Touati

16 Aug 2023

Can MICROSOFT reach Its 200-day moving average?

Categories: Technical Analysis, Wolfe Waves

A Wolfe wave has been detected on MICROSOFT and we are on the bottom of a major support located between 342-323. A rebound is possible in a short terme double bottom (candle of May 25, 2023), but... Now [...]Y

by James Touati

15 Aug 2023

TESLA on a major support - rebound or breakout?

Categories: Technical Analysis, Wolfe Waves

Yesterday, TESLA announced lower prices for its electric cars in China (Model Y). From July 19th, 2023, TESLA has fallen, forming a GAP around 291 USD which remains an achievable short-term target. [...]Y

by James Touati

15 Aug 2023

TESLA sur un support majeur. Rebond ou cassure?

Categories: Technical Analysis, Wolfe Waves, French

Hier, TESLA a annoncé une baisse des prix de ses voitures électriques en Chine (Modèle Y).Depuis le 19 juillet 2023, TESLA a chuté, formant un GAP autour de 291USD qui reste un [...]Y

by James Touati

15 Aug 2023

WTI Crude OIL: is a rise to 88.87 USD possible?

Categories: Technical Analysis, Wolfe Waves

The International Energy Agency has revised Its forecast for global oil demand growth in 2023 ,upwards. Now let's see what the WTI crude oil daily chart tells us. The 50-day exponential moving average is about [...]Y

by James Touati

15 Aug 2023

Pétrole brut WTI: une hausse à 88.87 USD est-elle possible?

Categories: Technical Analysis, Wolfe Waves, French

L'agence internationale de l'énergie (AIE) a revu ses prévisions de croissance de la demande mondiale de pétrole en 2023 à la hausse . Regardons donc à présent le graphique [...]Y

by James Touati

14 Aug 2023

NASDAQ broke Its 50-day moving average? Watch out!

Categories: Technical Analysis, Wolfe Waves

Since August 1, 2023, the Nasdaq has begun to decline . On August 2023 the index broke its 50 moving average (orange line). As you can see on the graph below, the NASDAQ 100 has also broken its 50 exponential moving [...]Y

by James Touati

14 Aug 2023

NASDAQ: Cassure de la SMA.50 : Attention !

Categories: Technical Analysis, Wolfe Waves, French

Depuis le 1er aout 2023, le Nasdaq a entamé une baisse . Le 9 aout 2023 l'indice a cassé sa moyenne mobile 50 ( ligne orange). Comme vous pouvez le voir sur graphique ci dessous, le NASDAQ 100 a cassé [...]Y

by James Touati

13 Aug 2023

Does the semiconductor index start a new downturn?

Categories: Technical Analysis, Wolfe Waves

Since the U.S. Treasury announced it would regulate U.S. investment in China because artificial intelligence could harm U.S. national security , the Semiconductor Index has been on the decline. So let's take a closer [...]Y

by James Touati

13 Aug 2023

L'indice des semiconducteurs commence t'il sa baisse?

Categories: Technical Analysis, Wolfe Waves, French

Depuis que le Trésor américain a annoncé qu'il réglementerait les investissements américains en Chine parce que l'intelligence artificielle pourrait nuire à la [...]Y

by James Touati

12 Aug 2023

NVIDIA peut rejoindre ses GAPs? Cassure d'importantes lignes de trend

Categories: Technical Analysis, Wolfe Waves, French

Cette semaine, le Trésor américain a décidé de proposer des règles régissant les investissements américains en Chine . Les secteurs concernés sont [...]Y

by James Touati

12 Aug 2023

will NVIDIA reach its GAPs? Trendline broken downwards

Categories: Technical Analysis, Wolfe Waves

This week, the US Treasury decided to propose rules governing US investment in China. The sectors concerned are quantum computing, semiconductors and artificial intelligence. Let's take a look at the NVIDIA chart: [...]Y

by James Touati

08 Aug 2023

AMAZON peut rejoindre son plus haut historique?

Categories: Technical Analysis, Wolfe Waves, French

Suite à la publication de ses résultats, Amazon a battu le consensus et réalisé un meilleur BPA (0,65) qu'au trimestre précédent (0,31) : BPA doublé ! [...]Y

by James Touati

08 Aug 2023

Can AMAZON reach Its highest level?? Is the PACMAN pattern Bullish?

Categories: Technical Analysis, Wolfe Waves

Following the publication of its results, Amazon beat the consensus and achieved better EPS (0.65) than in the previous quarter (0.31): EPS doubled! Let's look at the impact of the results on the Amazon chart: [...]Y

by James Touati

06 Aug 2023

Apple entame-t-il une correction ?

Categories: Technical Analysis, Wolfe Waves, French

Après la publication de ses résultats, APPLE a déçu le marché, car le BPA était plus faible (1,26) qu'auparavant (1,52). Examinons l'impact sur les graphiques "hebdomadaires" [...]Y

by James Touati

06 Aug 2023

Is Apple starting a correction?

Categories: Technical Analysis, Wolfe Waves

Summary: weekly trend line broken + financial results disappoint the market. After publication of their results, APPLE disappointed the market, because EPS was lower (1.26) than previously (1.52). Let's take [...]Y

by James Touati

03 Aug 2023

S&P500-Reversal risk in summer

Categories: Technical Analysis

On July 27, the S&P500 gapped higher to 4598, extending to a high of 4607, but reversed down to a low of 4528, a previous support area, and finally closed at 4537, engulfing several previous trading days. While it is [...]Y

by Bruno Estier

22 Jul 2023

Health Care: un settore da seguire

Categories: Technical Analysis, Italian

Nel 2023 il settore azionario mondiale dell’Health Care è stato particolarmente debole, con una performance in USD di circa un paio di punti, rispetto all’indice MSCI World, che ha avuto una performance [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti

22 Jul 2023

Health Care: a sector to watch

Categories: Technical Analysis

The global Healthcare equity sector was particularly weak in 2023, performing in USD by about a couple of points, versus the MSCI World Index, which had a year-to-date performance of 16.37%. It fared much better last [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti

28 Jun 2023

The Perils of "Painting the Tape"

Categories: Technical Analysis

Sound the alarm! The recent escape-velocity melt-up in mega-cap tech, is likely to suffer the perils of painting the tape,’ based on historic divergences in market internals, greater than Y2K TMT and 2008 GFC. [...]Y

by Ron William

08 May 2023

S&P500 entering weaker season May-October

Categories: Technical Analysis

As the period of the May-October headwinds is beginning, the S&P500 is again close to the top of its last 6-month range (3765-4195), along with overbought momentum, and is about ready to send sell signals. One should [...]Y

by Bruno Estier

09 Apr 2023

The US$ Index Turns Down Along the Cloud!

Categories: Technical Analysis

The US$ Index ($DXY) is at an interesting crossroads. After a decline from the 114 area to the spike low at 100.40 in January, the $DXY rebounded toward 105.85 at the end of February, and it has now drifted [...]Y

by Bruno Estier

02 Apr 2023

Wolfe Wave pattern on CAC 40

Categories: Technical Analysis, Wolfe Waves

A bearish pattern has been identified on the CAC40. Here are the detailed possible entry and target levels. For more details, you can contact me here by email, or on the following networks: LinkedIn: [...]Y

by James Touati

15 Mar 2023

DAX - a perfect Wolfe wave yet again

Categories: Technical Analysis, Education, Wolfe Waves

Do you know about Wolfe Waves ? It's a chart pattern once applied properly will give you outstanding results! Today I did 530 bips on the DAX!! Here's a video showing how to create it: Do you want to [...]Y

by James Touati

13 Mar 2023

Kommt jetzt die große Korrektur beim DAX?

Categories: Technical Analysis

Vorsicht: Divergenz ist kein Brief mit Siegel! hier könnte eine Beschreibung stehen... DIES IST EIN TEST Y

by David Murawski

02 Mar 2023

GOLD : too early to buy

Categories: Technical Analysis

Gold’s daily chart displays a gradual down-drift after the two sharp down days, which broke the rising channel near 1900 at the beginning of February 2023. The decline has been gradual after Gold broke below 1877, the [...]Y

by Bruno Estier

07 Feb 2023

S&P500 in uptrend

Categories: Technical Analysis

The close of the month of January, or the period from November 1 to January 31 is relevant for historical statistics. A January close up or a rise in the November-January period is correlated with a bullish year from [...]Y

by Bruno Estier

22 Jan 2023

Will lightening strike twice?!

Categories: Technical Analysis

Happy New Year and welcome to 2023! ☺ We kick-start by asking how market returns should play out and will lightning strike again, after last year’s worse than expected shakeout? Seasonality patterns can offer early [...]Y

by Ron William

04 Jan 2023

Expect a Triangle Pattern for Months in US 10-Year Treasury Yield

Categories: Technical Analysis

The yield spread of the US 10-Year Treasury yield minus the 1-year yield on the top of the monthly chart is now well below zero. As this yield curve inversion also happened in 2006-2007, it is sparking many discussions [...]Y

by Bruno Estier

17 Oct 2022

Swiss Market Index SMI With A Possible Temporary Low

Categories: Technical Analysis, Guest Author Article

Swiss Market Index SMI - Possible Temporary Low – An 8% profit Short Term Opportunity Following our market approach of cycles – Accumulation, Mark-up, Distribution and Decline, we observe a possible [...]Y

by Antonio Ramos

16 Oct 2022

Bertschis CHART OUTLOOK SWISS EQUITIES

Categories: Technical Analysis

Here's the latest issue of Rolf Bertschi's Chart Outlook SWISS EQUITIES . In this edition covered: - SMI Index - SMI constituents ABB, Alcon, CS Group, Geberit, Givaudan, Holcim, Logitech, Lonza, Nestle, Novartis [...]Y

by Rolf Bertschi

30 Aug 2022

S&P500: to hedge or Not to hedge

Categories: Technical Analysis

In August 2022 the S&P500 failed to hold above its 40-wk moving average and reversed down with 2 consecutive down weeks. Given the sharp fall in the 2nd week, the sudden rise of the VIX (orange dotted) from 20-25% may [...]Y

by Bruno Estier

05 Aug 2022

EUR/USD Parity: A Clear & Present Reality?

Categories: Technical Analysis

EUR/USD is cliff-dropping below the pandemic-era lows, under the all important parity level. Technicals verged on further deterioration once the major rate traded below a major floor at 1.0340, weighed by a twenty-year [...]Y

by Ron William

05 Aug 2022

Seasonality patterns re-align

Categories: Technical Analysis

Global markets clearly decided to “sell in May” (SIM) this year, but rather than “go away”, opportunistic speculators returned “straight away”, with S&P500 bouncing twice by almost [...]Y

by Ron William

10 Jul 2022

S&P500: 3 bubbles - where is the bottom?

Categories: Technical Analysis

Dotcom bubble (2000), housing bubble (2008) and the current market situation – what do they all have in common? From a technical perspective, they all started the same way. While history never exactly repeats, [...]Y

by Patrick Pfister

29 Jun 2022

Aumentano le evidenze di un'inversione della tendenza secolare dei prezzi dei titoli azionari

Categories: Technical Analysis, Italian

Un risultato secondario degli eccezionali stimoli fiscali e monetari che hanno avuto luogo tra il 2020 e il 2021 è stata la speculazione dilagante nei mercati finanziari. Questo comportamento esuberante si è [...]Y

by Martin Pring

29 Jun 2022

Growing Evidence that the Secular Trend in Equity Prices May be Reversing

Categories: Technical Analysis

A byproduct of the record monetary and fiscal stimulation that took place between 2020 and 2021 has been rampant speculation in financial markets. That frothy behavior has extended from housing through to technology stocks, [...]Y

by Martin Pring

27 May 2022

S&P500: 2022 still Low of the Four-Year Cycle due Later

Categories: Technical Analysis

At the end of May 2022, the rotation from Growth toward Value and the rising 10-year US Treasury yield, which reached 3.17%, has evolved into a Bear market as the S&P500 has declined well below 4100 toward 3810, but has [...]Y

by Bruno Estier

24 May 2022

Buy Strength or Buy the Dip?

Categories: Technical Analysis

To judge from my own experience, buying the low of a move is very gratifying. Unfortunately, it doesn’t happen often. Usually, the price goes lower. In many cases, especially with stocks, the price usually recovers [...]Y

by Perry Kaufman

24 May 2022

Comprare nella forza del mercato o nei ribassi?

Categories: Technical Analysis, Italian

A giudicare dalla mia esperienza, comprare su un minimo di mercato è molto gratificante. Purtroppo, non accade spesso. Di solito il prezzo si muove più in basso rispetto al punto di acquisto. E in molti casi, [...]Y

by Perry Kaufman

02 May 2022

Improving on ETFs: Get Higher Returns with Lower Risk

Categories: Technical Analysis

I wrote this article six years ago and nothing has changed. There are two important lessons which you will see as you read this. Or, you can skip to the end! According to the advertising “Why trade one healthcare [...]Y

by Perry Kaufman

02 May 2022

Come migliorare gli ETF: ottenere rendimenti più alti con un rischio inferiore

Categories: Technical Analysis, Italian

Ho scritto la prima versione di questo articolo sei anni fa, ma nulla è cambiato. Ci sono due lezioni importanti che imparerete leggendo quanto ho scoperto. Oppure, potete saltare direttamente al paragrafo finale [...]Y

by Perry Kaufman

24 Apr 2022

Il nuovo mondo delle obbligazioni

Categories: Technical Analysis, Italian

Inflazione e tassi al rialzo stanno cambiando il mondo obbligazionario. Se osserviamo i grafici dei tassi degli ultimi mesi, comincia a diventare sempre più evidente che non siamo in una situazione da considerare [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti

24 Apr 2022

The new world of bonds

Categories: Technical Analysis

Inflation and rising rates are changing the bond world. If we look at the yield charts over the last few months, it is becoming increasingly evident that we are not in a situation to be considered exceptional and [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti

30 Mar 2022

Bitcoin: BTCUSD 100k or 10k? UPDATE

Categories: Technical Analysis, Update, Guest Author Article

In our latest article published on this BLOG here on January 18, 2022, we observed the BTCUSD price action followed through our estimated Scenario 2, as we can notice below: The break of the Critical level for the [...]Y

by SAMT Guest

28 Mar 2022

BTC: forecast for 2022, considering the fundamental situation

Categories: Technical Analysis, Guest Author Article

The digital asset market is experiencing another growth cycle. The decline in the price of blue-crypto-chips since the end of last year, as well as the decrease in the capitalization of the entire crypto market, was caused [...]Y

by SAMT Guest

02 Feb 2022

A Chartists View of the Markets in 2022

Categories: Technical Analysis, Webinar

Presenter : Greg Schnell, CMT, MFTA When : Thursday, 17 February 2022 Time : 7:00 PM CET (Zurich) About the Presenter Greg Schnell, CMT , is the chief technical strategist at gregschnell.com specializing in [...]Y

by SAMT Admin

18 Jan 2022

BTCUSD: 100k or 10k?

Categories: Technical Analysis, Guest Author Article

This analysis is based on the Wickoff Theory of Market Cycles, and aims to identify the current position of the BTCUSD in its trading cycle in the mid to long-term perspective, and to estimate the probability of the future [...]Y

by SAMT Guest

13 Jan 2022

IFTA South East Asia Webinar Collaboration Market Outlook 2022: Breakout Recovery

Categories: Technical Analysis, Events, Webinar

When: Monday, 17 January 2022 Time: 10:00-12:00 (CET) Convert to local time here . >>> REGISTER NOW <<< Y

by SAMT Admin

28 Nov 2021

Bitcoin: buy the dip!

Categories: Technical Analysis, Guest Author Article

Bitcoin was dominating the market and we saw ATH at 69k. Our first target was met. When the resistance becomes support, it’s called polarity. And now we are seeing medium-term correction where Bitcoin is trying to [...]Y

by Snezhana Popovska

23 Nov 2021

GBPUSD Asymmetric Risk

Categories: Technical Analysis

GBP/USD Asymmetric risk, after the Deja vu failure near 1.40-1.40 price zone. This echoed a similar bearish sentiment at the 2018 peak, after the Brexit crash lows of 1.1840 (Figure 1). Tactical market proxies also [...]Y

by Ron William

05 Nov 2021

10 Key Asset Allocation Questions into Spring 2022

Categories: Technical Analysis, Events, Webinar

Join us for SAMT's next webinar: Presenter : Jean-Francois Owczarczak , CFTe; CEO of Management Joint Trust SA, Geneva, CH Date : Friday, 19 November 2021 Time : 3:00 PM CET (Geneva) Convert to local time here . [...]Y

by SAMT Admin

25 Sep 2021

Dr. Copper's delicate condition

Categories: Technical Analysis

As part of the pandemic scenario, commodities hit an important low in March 2020, subsequently beginning a broad and important rally that continued into the following year. Numerous factors contributed to their rise, [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti

25 Sep 2021

La delicata situazione del dottor Copper

Categories: Technical Analysis, Italian

All’interno dello scenario pandemico, le materie prime hanno toccato un importante minimo a marzo del 2020, iniziando successivamente un ampio ed importante rally che si è protratto anche nell’anno [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti

15 Sep 2021

Healthcare & Biotech

Categories: Technical Analysis

The healthcare and biotech sectors were among the most important players during the beginning of the pandemic period. But subsequently, after the brilliant performance in the first half of 2020, they started to [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti

06 Sep 2021

Farmaceutico & biotecnologie

Categories: Technical Analysis, Italian

Il settore farmaceutico e quello Biotech, da un punto di vista di performance e forza relativa sono stati fra i più importanti protagonisti durante l’inizio del periodo pandemico. Ma successivamente, dopo le [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti

30 Aug 2021

US 10Treasury Yield: About to Give Signal for Sharp Rise ?

Categories: Technical Analysis

In April 2021, we reviewed the US 30-year Treasury yield. Now we present the US 10-year Treasury yield that is about to give a technical analysis signal of a sharp rise by rising back above its rising 40-week moving average [...]Y

by Bruno Estier

26 Aug 2021

Oil running low on energy

Categories: Technical Analysis

Oil is back on our technical radar, after a triggering a greater peak-to-trough drawdown than last March. The 12% price drop is weighed by growing headwinds, most notably a confluence of price/time mean-reversion [...]Y

by Ron William

06 Jul 2021

How to trade CFDs

Categories: Technical Analysis, Resources, Education

Many people have heard about CFDs, not aware of what they are, what opportunities they offer, but also what risks they contain. In this article, I will outline the basics in a nutshell. What are CFDs? CFDs are [...]Y

by Patrick Pfister

31 May 2021

A new check on China & USA stock markets

Categories: Technical Analysis

The battle between the American and Chinese stock markets continues. The relative strength comparison index between these two markets, has historically shown an alternation with more or less short term trends. Since the end [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti

31 May 2021

Un nuovo confronto tra mercato azionario americano e cinese

Categories: Technical Analysis, Italian

Continua la battaglia tra mercato azionario americano e cinese. L’indice di comparazione della forza relativa tra questi due mercati ha storicamente dimostrato un’alternanza con tendenze più o meno brevi. [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti

18 May 2021

9 examples of practical technical analysis

Categories: Technical Analysis, Resources, Education

Technical Analysis consists of a variety of methods. In this edition, you will see 9 examples, how technical analysis can be applied: breakout of a triangle on Microsoft (MSFT) extending impulse wave on crude oil [...]Y

by Connie Brown

16 May 2021

Is Gold's trend still your friend?

Categories: Technical Analysis

Investment wisdom teaches us “the trend is your friend”. It’s especially true of Gold’s parabolic 20-year rise to the all-time high of $2080, in August last year. Since then, the [...]Y

by Ron William

01 May 2021

Resumption of Downtrend for US$ Index!

Categories: Technical Analysis

In the first quarter of 2021, the US$ Index displayed a sizable rebound from 89.17 to 93.47, but it reversed down in April right on schedule of the seasonality, displaying weakness from April to October. Also, it broke [...]Y

by Bruno Estier

30 Mar 2021

Rolf Bertschi's Chartoutlook for Swiss Equities

Categories: Technical Analysis, Resources, Guest Author Article

We are pleased to share with you issue 2021/#11 of Rolf Bertschi's CHART OUTLOOK SWISS EQUITIES : >>> Download Issue #11 FOR FREE <<< If YOU are not a regular subscriber, then please take a [...]Y

by SAMT Guest

14 Mar 2021

Cina e USA

Categories: Technical Analysis, Italian

Già nel passato avevo confrontato il mercato azionario cinese con quello americano (si veda a questo link ). L’indice di forza relativa tra questi due mercati, ha storicamente raccontato come è sempre [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti

14 Mar 2021

China & USA

Categories: Technical Analysis

Already in the past I compared the Chinese and the American stock market (see this link ). The relative strength ratio between these two markets has historically told how an alternation of strength between American and [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti

07 Mar 2021

March 2021 Market Outlook

Categories: Technical Analysis

The March Edition of Connie Brown's Market Outlook covering: Asia and India (Singapore Straits, Shanghai Composite Index) Europe (CAC40) Oil and Middle East (Saudi Tasi) United States (DJIA, S&P500, [...]Y

by Connie Brown

02 Mar 2021

rotation from Growth to Value

Categories: Technical Analysis

The chart displays the interactions between S&P500, US 10 year yield, and the Equity rotation between Growth stocks and Value stocks. To display this rotation, a ratio of two ETFs is used. On the numerator of the [...]Y

by Bruno Estier

23 Feb 2021

EURUSD: A Computer-Generated Model Applying Harmonic Cycle Overtones (Data Sample: 1993 – 19/02/2021)

Categories: Technical Analysis

A paper written for the Swiss Association of Market Technicians (samt-org.ch) Connie Brown, MFTA, February 20, 2021 Figure 1 – EURUSD with Overlay (red) showing Two Cycle Composite with Six Harmonic Overtones [...]Y

by Connie Brown

24 Jan 2021

S&P 500: è ora di una correzione?

Categories: Technical Analysis, Italian

Chi investe nei mercati finanziari si preoccupa quando il mercato scende, ma anche quando sale troppo. In questo ultimo periodo molti stanno chiamando una potenziale e salutare correzione sui mercati azionari, ma a quanto [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti

24 Jan 2021

S&P 500: is it time for a correction?

Categories: Technical Analysis

Those who invest in the financial markets worry when the market goes down, but also when it goes up too much. In this last period many are calling for a potential and healthy correction in the stock markets, but apparently [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti

29 Dec 2020

Equities extend higher into the Spring, perhaps next Summer

Categories: Technical Analysis

The dual question currently rocking equity markets is to understand if the current rally extends into Q1, perhaps even into Q2/Q3 next year, and if one should rather favor Cyclical, Growth or Defensive stocks. In this [...]Y

by JFO

29 Dec 2020

Gold -short term uptrend

Categories: Technical Analysis

The Gold daily chart displays an uptrend in December with higher highs & lows. The last low held well above the slightly rising 40-day MA (1863), which should be acting as a support in the coming weeks. However, the [...]Y

by Bruno Estier

08 Dec 2020

La rivoluzione del Biotech

Categories: Technical Analysis, Italian

L’ingresso nel periodo invernale ha portato a dei potenziali cambiamenti all’interno del settore azionario. La serie di annunci avvenuti a partire dagli inizi di novembre sull’efficacia dei nuovi vaccini [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti

08 Dec 2020

Biotech revolution

Categories: Technical Analysis

Entering in the winter season has led to potential changes within the equity sector. The series of announcements made since the beginning of November on the effectiveness of the new vaccines against COVID-19, inaugurated by [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti

13 Nov 2020

Not a major top for Nasdaq100

Categories: Technical Analysis

As the US equity market is undergoing a correction in the last three weeks and as last month we mentioned that October to April is the seasonally bullish period, a review of the leading sector of the US market, [...]Y

by Bruno Estier

23 Oct 2020

Interview with John Bollinger - Indexing for Technicians

Categories: Technical Analysis, Videos, Interviews

Interview with John Bollinger, of Bollinger Capital Management & keynote speaker at our IFTA online conference (24-25th Oct) . "Indexing for Technicians" + The Bollinger Band story (1.10) + Volatility ideas in [...]Y

by Ron William

19 Oct 2020

S&P in the run-up to the presidential election

Categories: Technical Analysis, Guest Author Article

As one of the most followed equity indexes, S&P is a stock market index that measures the stock performance of the largest 500 listed companies in the United States. The index has recovered from its 23 March lows and [...]Y

by SAMT Guest

28 Jul 2020

Gold: Ready to make a break to $2400?*

Categories: Technical Analysis, Videos

Key points ++++++++ + The bigger the base, the higher in space + Gold's 1980s spike historical rhyme + A rising tide lifts all boats + Illusion of money + FAANG to BAANG Y

by Ron William

07 Jun 2020

S&P 500: tendenze future

Categories: Technical Analysis, Italian

Fra le notizie comparse sulla stampa specializzata in questa ultima settimana, ho letto un paio di interessanti articoli pubblicati sul Financial Times. Il primo parla del recente posizionamento degli hedge fund, ormai [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti

07 Jun 2020

S&P 500: what's next?

Categories: Technical Analysis

Among the news that appeared in the specialized press this past week, I read a couple of interesting articles published in the Financial Times. The first one talks about the recent positioning of hedge funds, now ready for [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti

29 May 2020

Bitcoin (BTC): grow potential by the end of 2020

Categories: Technical Analysis, Guest Author Article

The cryptocurrency market benchmark, BTC, was one of the firsts recovered after the financial markets collapse in March 2020 caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. Perhaps only the NASDAQ index can equal it in the growth rate [...]Y

by SAMT Guest

16 May 2020

Gold & Silver

Categories: Technical Analysis

Gold and silver are two precious metals that were historically used as currency and very often in pairs. For this reason, it was always established a relationship between the two metals that was an indicator used for [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti

16 May 2020

Oro e argento

Categories: Technical Analysis, Italian

Oro e argento sono due metalli preziosi che storicamente venivano usati come moneta e molto spesso in coppia. Per questo motivo veniva sempre stabilito un rapporto tra i due metalli che costituiva un indice usato per gli [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti

05 May 2020

S&P500: breve analisi del trend

Categories: Technical Analysis, Italian

Sell in May and go away? Dopo Il forte rialzo di questi ultimi 28 giorni è il caso di “scappare” dal mercato azionario? Come al solito è necessario tenere i nervi saldi e valutare bene quello che [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti

05 May 2020

S&P500: a brief trend analysis

Categories: Technical Analysis

Sell in May and go away? After the sharp rise of the last 28 days is it the case to "run away" from the stock market? As usual it is necessary to remain calm and consider what is happening. The market surprised in the [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti

04 May 2020

3 technical analysis methods applied on S&P500

Categories: Technical Analysis, Education

In January 2020, the markets were in "higher! higher! mode" with no end in sight. Endless growth seemed to be the case. Is there ANYTHING that can bring this very high market down? It did not seem like it. Then came Corona. [...]Y

by Patrick Pfister

03 May 2020

The Expander Strategy

Categories: Technical Analysis, Education, Webinar

Presenter: Wieland Arlt, CFTe —IFTA Conference Director When: Tuesday, 19, May 2020; 6:00 PM CEST Topic: Successful Trading With Bollinger Bands and Candlestick Signals ABOUT THE WEBINAR Wieland Arlt focuses on [...]Y

by SAMT Admin

25 Mar 2020

Equity market crash: What next?

Categories: Technical Analysis, Videos, Interviews

Catching the falling knife BEWARE of "catching the falling knife", following the -30% crash in only 3-4 weeks, especially with the series of forced liquidation patterns that have triggered after each of the [...]Y

by Ron William

22 Mar 2020

S&P 500: some hypothesis about the trend

Categories: Technical Analysis

The financial market has managed to surprise everyone with its behavior, and many wonder if the prices of financial assets are now in an area close to a probable bottom or, if not, how long this fast and deep fall could [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti

22 Mar 2020

S&P 500: qualche ipotesi sulla tendenza

Categories: Technical Analysis, Italian

Il mercato finanziario è riuscito a sorprendere un po’ tutti con il suo comportamento, e molti si domandano se ormai i prezzi delle attività finanziarie sono in una zona vicina ad un probabile fondo [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti

08 Mar 2020

Analisi grafica del Coronavirus e dei mercati fin.

Categories: Technical Analysis, Italian

Lo studio delle tendenze di mercato attraverso l’analisi dei prezzi può essere implementato utilizzando dati che non si trovano nel mondo finanziario, ma che possono comunque influenzarlo. Visto che [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti

08 Mar 2020

Graphical analysis of Coronavirus and financial markets

Categories: Technical Analysis

Determining market trends through price analysis can be improved by using data that is not found in the financial world, but can still influence it. Since the Coronavirus diffusion trend affects the performance of the [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti

01 Mar 2020

Coronavirus e S&P 500: prime considerazioni

Categories: Technical Analysis, Italian

In genere nei mercati finanziari intensità e frequenza non vanno molto a braccetto. Eventi con forte intensità (come una caduta di mercato molto profonda ed imprevista), avvengono con bassa frequenza. Ma cosa [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti

01 Mar 2020

Coronavirus and S&P 500: first thoughts

Categories: Technical Analysis

Usually in financial markets intensity and frequency do not go together. Events with high intensity (such as a very deep and unforeseen market crash), occur with low frequency. But what happens if the frequency of these [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti

01 Feb 2020

Virus and financial markets

Categories: Technical Analysis

The Chinese coronavirus has now massively dominated all the world’s media. But the news that arrives is not always considered reliable and there is a certain confusion that is not good for investors. One of the [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti

13 Jan 2020

The year of metals

Categories: Technical Analysis

In the last two years I have written several articles, both on precious metals and industrial metals. I would like to start this 2020 by talking in specific about three metals and why I consider them to be particularly [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti

22 Dec 2019

A short analysis of the MSCI Russia Index

Categories: Technical Analysis

It is quite common to link the world of Russian stocks to the world of energy. In fact, most of the Russian stock exchange is based on energy-related stocks, hence the strong correlation between the stock indices that [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti

08 Dec 2019

Italian Mid Cap Stocks

Categories: Technical Analysis

The Italian stock exchange has always been closely linked to the banking sector, although this has diminished in importance with the passage of time. The FTSE MIB index this year was one of the best in Europe, but it would [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti

16 Nov 2019

Yield curve and stock market

Categories: Technical Analysis

One of the issues that has been discussed in the last period, especially in the U.S. media, has been the inversion of the U.S. yield curve: this type of event, which occurs when short-term interest rates become higher than [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti

04 Nov 2019

Gold and Silver

Categories: Technical Analysis

Unlike gold, silver is more used in industry, so its price dynamics have a relationship with the yellow metal sometimes of strength, sometimes of weakness. If we look at a historical graph of the relative strength between [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti

06 Oct 2019

A new focus on Chinese and USA equities

Categories: Technical Analysis, Update

In June of this year, I analysed the relative strength ratio between the US S&P 500 stock index and the Chinese stock market (represented by the MSCI International CHINA A on Shore Index). The analysis was proposed in [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti

02 Oct 2019

Defensive assets are topping out, for now

Categories: Technical Analysis

The last 12 months have seen an aggressive rally on defensive assets, fueled by many geopolitical risks (Trade War, Iran, US Impeachment attempts, Brexit, …) as well as a slowdown in global growth. We believe the [...]Y

by SAMT Guest

30 Sep 2019

Equity markets short term trends: some considerations

Categories: Technical Analysis

In the last periods, the stock market has been characterized by a certain weakness, but also by a strong underlying resilience. This is what you can see from a visual analysis of the price structure: but it is always [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti

17 Sep 2019

Brexit trade idea | Long GBP/USD

Categories: Technical Analysis

With Brexit day bearing down on the UK and the EU, IGTV speaks with Ron William from RW Market Advisory about a trade idea. William looks at a long GBP/USD in the context of the most recent price action. Further, he [...]Y

by Ron William

15 Sep 2019

GOLD: can the trend continue?

Categories: Technical Analysis

The bullish gold movement that took place this year was very important and above all very fast. Three weeks ago there was a peak in the yellow metal market and now it has begun a descent of about five percentage points from [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti

22 Jul 2019

Pay attention to Dr Copper

Categories: Technical Analysis

Copper is one of the oldest metals known to humans. It has played an important role in ancient civilizations such as the Egyptian and Roman. But the importance of copper increased after the industrial revolution and today [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti

13 Jul 2019

The fifth gold window

Categories: Technical Analysis

If we look at a graph of gold in dollars since 2000, we can see that, after a major bull market culminated in 2011 with a high close to the level of 2000 dollars per ounce, we had a strong descent to almost reach the level [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti

01 Jul 2019

Bitcoin: some thougths

Categories: Technical Analysis

One of the activities that technical analysts do to find new correlations between markets is to compare price charts of different financial assets. A graphical and visual comparison between curves allows you to detect [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti

22 Jun 2019

STOXX Europe 600 Utilities: a sector to watch

Categories: Technical Analysis, Update

Last year the European stock market was one of the least performing: the Stoxx 600 Index closed with a loss of more than -13%. The only STOXX 600 Super Sector survived with a modest loss of -1,7%, was the STOXX Europe 600 [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti

16 Jun 2019

The battle between US and China stocks

Categories: Technical Analysis

The US-China trade war is a subject of continuous analysis by professional investors, as it heavily affects the entire stock market. Today I would like to propose an analysis a bit 'different from the usual, but very [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti

10 Jun 2019

Spread BTP-BUND in a new normal

Categories: Technical Analysis

In this last period, the BTP-BUND spread has been reported several times in economic newspapers each time the indicator was around 280. In fact, the 280 level is a historical level of support and resistance, which is the [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti

03 Jun 2019

EUR-USD: some thoughts

Categories: Technical Analysis

If we look at the historical EUR-USD chart since 2005, we can see that the exchange rate curve is within a channel with a negative inclination, and the top of the channel was touched for the last time at the end of 2017 [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti

26 May 2019

S&P 500: a matter of levels

Categories: Technical Analysis

In this last period the stock markets are in a corrective phase. One of the analyses that are made in these situations, is that relating to the search for a correct support level. Even the strategists of the investment [...]Y

by Mario V. Guffanti