SAMT Blog
Equity market crash: What next?
25. March 2020, by Ron William
Technical Analysis, Videos, Interviews
Catching the falling knife
BEWARE of "catching the falling knife", following the -30% crash in only 3-4 weeks, especially with the series of forced liquidation patterns that have triggered after each of the intraday late session relief-rallies.
- NOTE forced liquidation signals in Gold, amplified by mega hedge funds, passive strategies & ETFS under immense pressure.
- PAST opportunistic SHORT trade exited at 2960, profiting +380pts, following a key time factor signal on 14th Feb +/-3 days, amplified by an earlier momentum exhaustion signal on 13th Jan. (See previous post for more details).
- NEW tactical setup is now focused on trading impulsive upside breakouts from ST oversold rebound, into renewed cycle Q2-April.
- Key retracement levels 2645 (33%), 2805/35 (50%/value level), into 3k psych ceiling, near confluence 3010/85 (66%/value level).
- RISK to strategy is naturally based on any further new low breakouts, within tight margin from 2347 & 2281 (2018 low & 2020 crash low).
LT crash still has -30% risk ahead
- #SP500 bull-trap exhaustion signal now testing key 30-year historical mean, near double top breakout level at 2380.
- ST oversold rebound expected fro...
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